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ASCE Press Ser.: Degrees of Belief : Subjective Probability and Engineering...
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ApproximatelyC $20.54
- Buy It NowASCE Press Ser.: Degrees of Belief : Subjective Probability and Engineering...
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Located in: Scarborough, Maine, United States
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Estimated between Thu, Jun 13 and Mon, Jun 17 to 43230
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eBay item number:166601217436
Item specifics
- Condition
- ISBN
- 9780784405987
- Series
- Asce Press Ser.
- Publication Year
- 2002
- Type
- Textbook
- Format
- Trade Paperback
- Language
- English
- Subject Area
- Technology & Engineering, Business & Economics, Mathematics, Social Science
- Publication Name
- Degrees of Belief : Subjective Probability and Engineering Judgment
- Publisher
- American Society of Civil Engineers
- Subject
- Civil / Soil & Rock, Engineering (General), Methodology, Probability & Statistics / General, Management
- Item Weight
- 22.4 Oz
- Number of Pages
- 472 Pages
About this product
Product Information
Degrees of Beliefartfully weaves together three elements at the very core of engineering: uncertainties in knowledge, inductive reasoning, and individual expertise. Written from a geotechnical and earth sciences perspective, it brings new meaning to these concepts for nearly any field of engineering, science, or technology decision-making. The book begins by examining the tension between theory and practice, showing how this is manifested in the different meanings of probability used in reliability and risk analysis. It emphasizes the cognitive processes used in conceptualizing uncertainty, with techniques and tools for subjective probability assessment. Turning to what this requires, it lends substance to professional judgment by examining its diagnostic, inductive, and interpretive elements. The book also investigates the nature of expertise by bringing to life such towering figures as Roebling, Stevens, and Terzaghi, and their monumental engineering achievements. Masterfully synthesizing a wide variety of sources in a way directly relevant to engineers, the book draws on the history and philosophy of science through the work of Thomas Kuhn and Henri Poincaré. It provides a window on current behavioral research that applies it to everyday thinking. This is all richly illustrated by examples from practice, including a gripping reassessment of the 1986 Challenger incident as seen through the eyes of the engineers who experienced it. From philosophical foundations to nuts and bolts, this is a groundbreaking book of serious content and sparkling style sure to engage any engineer or scientist who thinks about what they do and how they do it. About the Author Steven G. Vick is a geotechnical engineer and internationally recognized review consultant. This is his second book. Product Reviews Degrees of Belief is a uniquely crafted work that combines engineering, probability theory, philosophy, history, biography and psychology.--Dr. Brian Stimpson, Associate Dean and Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Manitoba This book should be of interest to every engineer and scientist. --Henry Petroski, A.S. Vesic Professor of Engineering, Duke University This much-needed book should go a long way to demystify the nature of professional judgment in geotechnical engineering.--Gregory B. Baecher, Professor and Chairman, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Maryland ...a unique perspective to engineering...establishes inductive reasoning as a legitimate and essential strategy for engineering and scientific thinking.-- The Chief Engineer
Product Identifiers
Publisher
American Society of Civil Engineers
ISBN-10
0784405980
ISBN-13
9780784405987
eBay Product ID (ePID)
2348097
Product Key Features
Publication Name
Degrees of Belief : Subjective Probability and Engineering Judgment
Format
Trade Paperback
Language
English
Subject
Civil / Soil & Rock, Engineering (General), Methodology, Probability & Statistics / General, Management
Series
Asce Press Ser.
Publication Year
2002
Type
Textbook
Subject Area
Technology & Engineering, Business & Economics, Mathematics, Social Science
Number of Pages
472 Pages
Dimensions
Item Weight
22.4 Oz
Additional Product Features
LCCN
2002-074410
Lc Classification Number
Ta340.V53 2002
Copyright Date
2002
Target Audience
Scholarly & Professional
Dewey Decimal
624
Dewey Edition
21
Illustrated
Yes
Item description from the seller
Seller assumes all responsibility for this listing.
eBay item number:166601217436
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